Research Progress of Tree Mortality after Fire Based on Logistic Model
WANG Xiao-hong1,2, WEI Na2, WANG Qian-xue1,2, YU Hong-ying1,2, HUANG Yan1,2*
1.Research Center of Cold Temperate Forestry,CAF,Harbin 150086,China;2.Harbin Research Institute of Forestry Machinery,State Forestry and Grassland Administration,Harbin 150086,China
王晓红,魏 娜,王千雪,于宏影,黄 艳. 基于 Logistic 模型的火后树木死亡率研究进展[J]. 温带林业研究, 2021, 4(1): 14-20.
WANG Xiao-hong, WEI Na, WANG Qian-xue, YU Hong-ying, HUANG Yan. Research Progress of Tree Mortality after Fire Based on Logistic Model. 温带林业研究, 2021, 4(1): 14-20.
[1] Mellen K, Marcot B G, Ohmann J L, et al. DecAID :a decaying wood advisory model for Oregon andWashington[R]. CA : USDA Forest Service,2002.
[2] Scott D W, Schmitt C L, Spiegel L H. Factors affectingsurvival of fire-injured trees : a rating system for determiningrelative probability of survival of conifers in the Blue andWallowa Mountains[R]. La Grande : USDA Forest Service,2002.
[3] Filip G M, Schmitt C L, Scott D W, et al .Understandingand defining mortality in western conifer forests[J]. WesternJournal of Applied Forestry,2007,22 :105-115.
[4] Hood SM, McHugh CW, Ryan KC, et al .Evaluation of apost-fire tree mortality model for western USA conifers[J].International Journal of Wildland Fire ,2007,16 :679-689.
[5] 陈宝麟,戴安然 . 大兴安岭森林火灾树木死亡率建模与预测[J]. 现代经济信息,2017,8(149):347-348.
[6] 韩大校,韦 睿,王晓红,等 . 林火导致树木死亡的作用机制和影响因素的研究进展[J]. 林业科学,2020,56(7):151-162.
[7] Andrews P L, Bevins C D, Seli R C. BehavePlus firemodeling system, version 4.0 : user’ s guide[J]. Ogden :USDA Forest Service,2008.
[8] Sieg C H, McMillin J D, Fowler J F, et al. Best predictorsfor post-fire mortality of ponderosa pine trees in theIntermountain West[J]. Forest Science,2006,52 :718-728.
[9] Michaletz S T, Johnson E A. A heat transfer model ofcrown scorch in forest fires[J]. Canadian Journal of ForestResearch,2006,36 :2839-2851.
[10] Wright C S, Agee J K. Fire and vegetation history in theeastern cascade mountains, washington[J].EcologicalApplications,2004,14(2):443-459.
[11] Hosmer D W,Lemeshow S. Applied LogisticRegression[M]. New York,2000.
[12] Ryan K C, Peterson D L,Reinhardt E D. Modeling longterm fire- caused mortality of Douglas-fir[J]. ForestScience,1988,34 :190-199.
[13] Bevins C D. Estimating survival and salvage potentialof fire-scarred Douglas-fir[R]. Ogden :USDA ForestService,1980.
[14] Regelbrugge J C, Conard S G. Modeling tree mortalityfollowing wildfire in Pinus ponderosa forests in the centralSierra Nevada of California[J]. International Journal ofWildland Fire,1993,3 :139-148.
[15] Reinhardt E D, Ryan K C. How to estimate tree mortalityresulting from underburning[J]. Fire Management Notes ,1988,49 :30-36.
[16] Peterson D L, Ryan K C. Modeling post-fire conifermortality for long-range planning[J]. EnvironmentalManagement,1986,10 :797-808.
[17] Finney M A. Fire-related tree mortality in ponderosa pine ineastern Montana[R]. Missoula : USDA Forest ServiceMT,1990.
[18] Thies W G, Westlind D J, Loewen M, et al .Prediction ofdelayed mortality of fire-damaged ponderosa pine followingprescribed fires in eastern Oregon[J]. International Journalof Wildland Fire, 2006,15(1):19-29.
[19] Hanson C T, North M P. Post-fire survival and flushingin three Sierra Nevada conifers with high initial crownscorch[J]. International Journal of Wildland Fire ,2009,18(7):857-864.
[20] Peterson D L, Arbaugh M J. Post-fire survival in Douglasfir and lodgepole pine:comparing the effects of crownand bole damage[J]. Canadian Journal of Forest Research,1986,16(6):1175-1179.
[21] Hood S M, Smith S L, Cluck D R. Predicting mortalityfor five California conifers following wildfire[J]. ForestEcology and Management,2010,260(5):750-762.
[22] Herman F R. A guide for marking fire-damaged ponderosapine in the southwest[R]. Fort Collins:USDA ForestService, CO,1954.
[23] Lynch D W. Effects of a wildfire on mortality and growthof young ponderosa pine trees[R]. Ogden:USDA ForestService,1959.[24] Dickinson M B,Johnson E A. Fire effects on trees[M].New York : Academic Press,2001 :477-525.
[25] Michaletz S T, Johnson E A. A biophysical process modelof tree mortality in surface fires[J]. Canadian Journal ofForest Research, 2008,38(7):2013-2029.
[26] Van Mantgem P, Stephenson N L, Mutch L S, et al.Growth rate predicts mortality of Abies concolor in bothburned and unburned stands[J]. Canadian Journal of ForestResearch,2003,33(6):1029-1038.
[27] McHugh C W, Kolb T E. Ponderosa pine mortalityfollowing fire in northern Arizona[J]. International Journalof Wildland Fire,2003,12(1):7-22.
[28] Kolb T E, Agee J K, Fule P Z, et al. Perpetuating oldponderosa pine[J]. Forest Ecology and Management ,2007,249(3):141-157.
[29] Adams D C,Jackson J F. Estimating the allometry of treebark[J]. American Midland Naturalist,1995,134 :99-106.
[30] Fowler J F, Sieg C H. Post-fire mortality of ponderosa pineand Douglas-fir[R]. Fort Collins : USDA Forest Service,2004
[31] Hood S M,Smith S L,Cluck D. Delayed tree mortalityfollowing fire on northern California[R]. Albany : USDAForest Service,2007.
[32] Hood S M, Bentz B. Predicting post-fire Douglas-firbeetle attacks and tree mortality in the northern RockyMountains[J]. Canadian Journal of Forest Research,2007,37(6):1058-1069.
[33] Hood S M, Cluck D R, Smith S L, et al. Using barkchar codes to predict post-fire cambium mortality[J]. FireEcology,2008,4(1):57-73.
[34] Kobziar L, Moghaddas J J, Stephens S L. Tree mortalitypatterns following prescribed fires in a mixed coniferforest[J]. Canadian Journal of Forest Research,2006,36(12):3222-3238.
[35] Harrington M G. Predicting Pinus ponderosa mortalityfrom dormant season and growing-season fire injury[J].International Journal of Wildland Fire,1993,3(2):65-72.
[36] Fernandes P M, Vega J A, Jimenez E, et al. Fireresistance of European pines[J]. Forest Ecology andManagement,2008 ,256(3):246-255.
[37] Battipaglia G, Strumia S, Esposito A, et al. The effectsof prescribed burning on Pinus halepensis Mill. as revealedby dendrochronological and isotopic analyses[J]. ForestEcology and Management,2014,334 :201-208.
[38] Swezy M D, Agee J K. Prescribed-fire effects on fineroot and tree mortality in old-growth ponderosa pine[J].Canadian Journal of Forest Research ,1991,21(5):626-634.
[39] Harrington M G. Ponderosa pine mortality from spring,summer, and fall crown scorching[J]. Western Journal ofApplied Forestry ,1987,2(1):14-16.
[40] McCullough D G, Werner R A, Neumann D. Fire andinsects in northern and boreal forest ecosystems of NorthAmerica[J]. Annual Review of Entomology ,1998,43 :107-127.
[41] Conklin D A, Geils B W. Survival and sanitation of dwarfmistletoe-infected ponderosa pine following prescribedunderburning[J]. Western Journal of Applied Forestry,2008,23(4):216-222.
[42] Raffa K F, Aukema B H, Bentz B J, et al. Cross-scaledrivers of natural disturbances prone to anthropogenicamplification : dynamics of biome-wide bark beetleeruptions[J]. BioScience,2008,58 :501-518.
[43] Saveland J M, Neuenschwander L F. A signal detectionframework to evaluate models of tree mortality followingfire damage[J]. Forest Science ,1990,36(1):66-76.[44] Borchert M, Schreiner D, Knowd T, et al. Predicting post-fire survival in Coulter pine( Pinus coulteri) andgray pine( Pinus sabiniana) after wildfire in centralCalifornia[J]. Western Journal of Applied Forestry,2002,17(3):134-138.
[45]Hood S M, McHugh C W, Ryan K C, et al. Evaluation of apost-fire tree mortality model for western USA conifers[J].International Journal of Wildland Fire,2007,16(6):679-689.
[46] Weatherby J C, Mocettini P, Gardner B. A biologicalevaluation of tree survivorship within the Lowman fireboundary,1989—1993[R]. Boise : USDA Forest Service,1994.
[47] Keyser T L, Smith F W, Lentile L B, et al. Modelingpost-fire mortality of ponderosa pine following a mixedseverity wildfire in the Black Hills : the role of treemorphology and direct fire effects[J]. Forest Science,2006,52 :530-539.
[48] Mutch L S, Parsons D J. Mixed-conifer forest mortalityand establishment before and after fire in Sequoia NationalPark[J], Forest Science,1998,44(3),341-355.